The 3.6% Illusion: Why Prediction Markets on Iran Are a Solvency Trap, Not a Signal
The data shows a 3.6% probability – that is the market-implied chance of the...
markets related articles
The data shows a 3.6% probability – that is the market-implied chance of the...
s silence. A US soldier dies in Iraq during drone disposal. The event itself ...
The Polymarket contract on 'Iran attacks Gulf states before July 22' sits at...
Greed
Market Sentiment
92 million ARB released
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Team and early investor shares released
Block reward halving event
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
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